Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001033 0.001069 0.001105 0.001144 0.001186 0.001229 0.001277
2025-08-31 0.000977 0.001031 0.001086 0.001149 0.001218 0.001293 0.001379
2025-09-07 0.000930 0.000995 0.001066 0.001148 0.001241 0.001344 0.001469
2025-09-14 0.000884 0.000958 0.001039 0.001135 0.001248 0.001376 0.001537
2025-09-21 0.000844 0.000923 0.001012 0.001120 0.001248 0.001399 0.001593
2025-09-28 0.000814 0.000898 0.000994 0.001112 0.001256 0.001429 0.001657
2025-10-05 0.000773 0.000859 0.000956 0.001079 0.001230 0.001415 0.001665
2025-10-12 0.000750 0.000839 0.000941 0.001071 0.001234 0.001438 0.001720
2025-10-19 0.000734 0.000826 0.000933 0.001071 0.001248 0.001473 0.001792
2025-10-26 0.000715 0.000808 0.000919 0.001063 0.001249 0.001491 0.001841
2025-11-02 0.000702 0.000798 0.000913 0.001064 0.001263 0.001525 0.001915
2025-11-09 0.000686 0.000783 0.000901 0.001057 0.001265 0.001543 0.001966
2025-11-16 0.000669 0.000767 0.000887 0.001046 0.001262 0.001556 0.002010
2025-11-23 0.000664 0.000766 0.000891 0.001060 0.001293 0.001617 0.002133
2025-11-30 0.000655 0.000759 0.000887 0.001064 0.001310 0.001658 0.002228
2025-12-07 0.000641 0.000745 0.000875 0.001055 0.001309 0.001672 0.002281
2025-12-14 0.000626 0.000730 0.000861 0.001043 0.001302 0.001678 0.002319
2025-12-21 0.000615 0.000719 0.000851 0.001036 0.001302 0.001694 0.002377
2025-12-28 0.000594 0.000696 0.000825 0.001007 0.001269 0.001657 0.002339
2026-01-04 0.000584 0.000686 0.000816 0.001000 0.001268 0.001670 0.002389
2026-01-11 0.000577 0.000680 0.000812 0.001001 0.001278 0.001701 0.002474
2026-01-18 0.000567 0.000670 0.000803 0.000993 0.001276 0.001711 0.002521
2026-01-25 0.000561 0.000665 0.000800 0.000994 0.001286 0.001742 0.002612